Masks In The Summer Heat?
This summer might not be as (relatively) easygoing as the last two
Tunisia's honeymoon could be coming to an end. Its incidence is on the rise and mortality has made a big jump up. While the latter might be a statistical overreaction to the scarcity of number reporting, the trend (up) might still be real. Both numbers are still way below their European countreparts and thus no reason for immediate concern.
In the USA, the the BA.2.12.1 subvariant of the omicron variant is driving a new wave (CNN), which is also causing concern for future vaccines (ars technica). The European omicron subvariant, less proliferative than the current US one, had caused a peak that is left behind by now. The European peak is equivalent to the one just forming in the US, which, I estimate, should peak in a month or so. Due to the relatively low full vaccination rate (meaning three shots) more people are again dying and mortality could be wavering above and below a flat line. This line, however, is low enough to be of no great concern. That is, other than to the misguided people who do not get vaccinated.
Numbers in Britain and Germany are coming down nicely but too slowly. But for how much longer? France's incidence curve is already seeing a slowdown of its nice descent.
| Daily Incidence | Daily ITU | Daily Deaths | Daily Pos. Rate | Cumulative Excess Death | Death Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 34.8 ↗︎ | 0.6 ↗︎ | 0.103 → | 14.1 % ↑ | 15.9 % | ↘︎ |
| WA State | 42.4 ↗︎ | 0.6 ↗︎ | 0.071 ↗︎ | 14.2 % ↑ | 11.5 % | → |
| Britain | 12.5 ↘︎ | 0.3 ↘︎ | 0.153 ↘︎ | 03.8 % ↘︎ | 12.9 % | ↓ |
| France | 46.7 ↘︎ | 1.7 ↘︎ | 0.111 ↘︎ | 16.3 % ↓ | 12.2 % | ↓ |
| Germany | 54.5 ↘︎ | 1.1 ↘︎ | 0.143 ↘︎ | 57.7 % | 07.4 % | ↘︎ |
| Tunisia | 00.7 ↗︎ | 0.2 → | 0.064 ↑ | 04.1% ↓ | 17.7 % | ↓ |
No Remarks this week, again, because there is nothing Earth shattering to talk about. Maybe because Covid has disappeared from our daily news. Maybe because people are trying to live their lives as closely to normal as they can do. But they will probably not be too surprised if something were to happen this summer. And if not, then certainly this winter.