On And On, Up, Down And Up Again
Things are getting better in some places and worse in others
Overall though, things look good for this summer. Tunisia, which we had been worrying about in the past, is doing better then best.
As predicted, the USA and Washington State see their incidences go up. How much, and if this will have an impact on the other two numbers, remains to be seen.
Britain is an enigma with its too-high and lingering mortality. Hard to say if and when this will change. The disease has become endemic, just like in France and Germany.
| Daily Incidence | Daily ICU | Daily Deaths | Daily Pos. Rate | Cumulative Excess Death | Death Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 017.0 ↗︎ | 0.5 ↗︎ | 0.108 ↘︎ | 11.7 % ↑ | 16.2 % | ↘︎ |
| WA State | 027.8 ↗︎ | 0.4 ↗︎ | 0.062 ↘︎ | 06.5 % ↓ | 11.7 % | ↓ |
| Britain | 024.7 ↘︎ | 0.5 ↘︎ | 0.350 → | 05.3 % ↓ | 13.0 % | ↓ |
| France | 133.9 ↘︎ | 2.5 → | 0.189 ↗︎ | 22.9 % ↓ | 12.4 % | ↓ |
| Germany | 121.1 → | 1.8 ↘︎ | 0.236 → | 57.7 % → | 07.5 % | ↓ |
| Tunisia | 000.8 ↘︎ | 0.2 → | 0.020 ↘︎ | 07.0 % ↑ | 18.1 % | → |
Party pooper here, currently staying in the country (on my list) with by far the lowest numbers, Tunisia, and feeling safe.
Feeling, that is. Because the long term effects of a coronavirus infection with even mild Covid-19 symptoms could still be devastating.
NBC News is reporting on the first study of the disease’s potential impact on the brain that is based on brain scans taken both before and after participants contracted the coronavirus. The 401 study participants had mostly mild Covid symptoms. This was a sufficiently large number to make the study meaningful.
Compared to a control group with no Covid, the Covid patients experienced a 0.2-2% loss of brain tissue in regions which are mostly associated with the sense of smell. Brain volume declined by 0.3%.
There could thus be other long-term effects.