Analysis – Saturday, 1 October 2022

Vaccination Picking Up In USA, Germany
And numbers keep going up

Well, that is, except for the USA as a whole where incidence and ITU occupancy keeps going down (but probably not for much longer, since in Washington and other US States, incidence is already going up).

Tunisia has joined the chorus but owed to their weekly reporting, we need to wait a couple of week before we can call it a trend. It is now safe to say that Germany's and France's incidences are shooting up, plus, their ITU occupancies have started to follow. And mortality should go up, too, in a few weeks.

People in these countries will soon start to become aware of the new trend and masking will become more prevalent.

Summary (reported numbers)

 Daily incidence, ITU occupancy and deaths are 7-day averages per 100K people based on reported numbers.
Actual numbers might be (considerably) higher. Arrows = tendency.
Mortality projections are from 9 September.
They assume the continuation of current measures up to the end of 2022.
 See the help page for explanations.

 Daily
Incidence
Daily
ITU /
ICU
Daily
Deaths
Daily
Pos. Rate
Cumulative
Excess 
Death  
Mortality
Projection  
USA14.2 ↘︎0.9 ↘︎0.134 ↗︎08.8% ↘︎14.4%↘︎↗︎
WA State14.8 ↗︎0.5 ↗︎0.114 ↘︎09.5% ↑11.0%↗︎
France64.7 ↑1.1 ↗︎0.048 ↗︎22.6% ↑11.0%↘︎↗︎
Germany74.6 ↑0.9 ↗︎0.104 →33.9% →06.9%↘︎↗︎
Tunisia00.4 ↗︎   0.004 →05.0% ↑15.5%↗︎

No Remarks


No remarks this week.


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