Analysis – Saturday, 12 February 2022

Getting There
But British and Danish data show that too-early opening could cause unnecessary deaths

Vaccinations and testing are down everywhere, so Covid-19 is seen less threatening.
Incidences have peaked, which takes pressure off strict measures.
Hospitalisations are easing, which make Covid-19 even less of a public problem.
Deaths are still increasing though, which makes Covid-19 increasingly a personal issue.

In other words, once Covid-19 has become endemic, it will be up to the individual whether to protect themselves rather for the government to tell people to protect other individuals. As a side effect, the vulnerable population could stay more inside while the unvaccinated idiots will reappear.

Germany's incidence has finally reached its peak. Britain's populist premature re-opening has caused the incidence to stall and, possibly, deaths as well. In which case one could say that individuals of the vulnerable population have fallen victim to Johnson's move to save his career.

France, Spain and lots of Western European countries see a good trend for all three main indicators. Tunisia, however, is seeing a dangerous continued and steady increase of ICU numbers and deaths

The United States are siding with Britain in that premature relaxation of rules, which had not been strictly enforced everywhere in the first place, are being relaxed and as a result, daily death numbers will not go down fast. Washington State is no exception but owed to its higher vaccination rate has lower ICU and death numbers than the US average.