Dancing Samba in Brazil; New York is concerned - about the rest of the country
Brazil: Daily have eased a little, daily positives to 19 per 100K and daily deaths to 0.58. The cases are clearly trending down and the deaths are probably not going to go much higher. If I could, I'd be dancing the Samba now. And no thanks to your Corona ally Bolsonaro.
Outlook: Very Bad With Lots Of Hope
US minus CA,NY,WA: In spite of the other Corona ally, daily positives gave a little to 19.5 per 100K with an upward trend that is less steep than the weeks before. Daily deaths remained largely unchanged at 0.26 and trending up. The daily positive rate gave a little to 9.8%. There is the sliver of a little hope on the horizon of a slowdown of new daily cases. Unfortunately, the psychopathic crybaby is making it even harder to fight the disease (No data, no disease: a simple solution for a simple mind).
Outlook: Very Bad With A Sliver Of Hope
California: Yesterday's hopeful outlook was thwarted by today's numbers. Daily positives went up by 50 % to 28.2 per 100K and the trendline is becoming steeper again. Daily deaths tripled to 0.35 and the trendline went up again. Interestingly, the daily positive rate fell from 7.5% to 7.3%. Some coastal counties had their alert level go from orange to yellow and I am convinced that, once mask-wearing becomes more prevalent, numbers will peak in the non-distant future.
Outlook: Very Bad
Washington: Daily positives fell from 14.5 to 7.2 per 100K trending up for six weeks, but less steeply than the days before. No daily death was reported but that is caused by several fatalities on one day and zero on the next (which I smooth out afterwards). The daily positive rate gave a little, from 6.0% to 5.9%. Alas, the Capitol Hill neighbourhood of Seattle, my beloved and currently sunny and beautiful home turf, is not spared from this trend.
Outlook: Bad
New York: Daily positives are on an upward trend still but went down slightly from 7.7 to 4.3 per 100K. Daily death numbers remained at their low 0.05 and the daily positive rate was still at 1.1%. New Yorkers are not too worried about the relatively high daily numbers but I am because not only do the daily positives trend up, the daily deaths are also not coming down as nicely as they were until a week ago.
Outlook: Satisfactory With Concern
France: After the national holiday, people are working again. Daily cases fell from 0.8 to 0.66 per 100K and the trendline came down by a lot. Daily deaths quintupled to 0.07, and the daily positive rate remained at 0.9%. But the R value is way above 1 and, most concerning, deaths are trending up, which I fear is not a number glitch.
Outlook: Satisfactory
Germany: Daily cases fell from 0.9 to 0.6 per 100K and the trendline went up again by a few degrees, but it is still pointing down. I predict that daily case numbers will be oscillating around the 0.5 mark for months to come. Daily deaths remain far below 0.01 (it is actually 0.0084). The daily positive rate was 0.5% five days ago (still waiting for the weekly update) and the R value is below one. As long as the deaths remain low, I am not overly concerned about the cases not coming down.
Outlook: Good
Tunisia: New case numbers are oscillating at a much higher level than before. But this is not of concern since the cause is known and under control. Cases were at 0.11 per 100K. The daily positive remained at 1.6%. There still have been no new deaths in 28 days (2 deaths in 53 days).
Outlook: Excellent
Over the course of the past months, I have personally come across several people who deny that the virus exists or that is it as severe as the "government" wants us to believe. In a free society, everybody has the right to his or her opinion and to make it heard. As ludicrous as it might be. Some of these are really nice people and I have no problem with them living in their own parallel universe.
That is, as long as their beliefs don't harm others. Which would be the case if they were to refuse to wear a mask or disrespect my 1.5-m space while queuing in the supermarket. Or, worse, if they would not self-quarantine when presented with a positive test or even visit so-called Corona parties.
In a pandemic, personal beliefs and freedoms must rank lower than the protection of all. I have therefore not the sliver of an understanding for those Germans who have taken the government to court for the current restrictions, citing civil liberties And if one of them might read this blog: Please retreat to your cozy parallel world and don't come out until the pandemic is over.
